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Каким будет новый лидер России? (Исследование представляет президент ЦСР М.Дмитриев)9 Мнение главного экономиста Citigroup по России и странам СНГ Элины Рыбаковой1 Марк Цукерберг дал звонок к открытию американской биржи Известные писатели, музыканты и актеры о том, как прогулки могут повлиять на ситуацию в стране4 Экс-министр финансов о противоречиях в правительстве и опасном законопроекте13 Вице-премьер оценил шансы России в борьбе за капитал (выступление на конференции "Ведомостей")14 Саймон Вайн (Альфа-банк) о тектонических процессах в экономике11 Какие задачи предстоит решать Шойгу на золотой земле Подмосковья1 Президент компании Danone редко ошибается в своих прогнозах4 Эсеры покинули заседание Госдумы после ответа Путина на вопрос о ситуации в Астрахани1 Видеоинтервью с кандидатом в мэры Астрахани, который c 16 марта голодает, борясь за честные выборы2 Губернатор Пермского края объясняет, почему у нас проблемы с медициной и малым бизнесом16
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На экраны выходит «Прометей» Ридли Скотта один из наиболее долгожданных фильмов не только года, но и десятилетия, который может оказаться как главной сенсацией, так и наиболее громким провалом сезона. Легендарный британский режиссер более чем через три десятилетия после своего великого фильма «Чужой» решил вернуться к нему, чтобы сделать приквел, своеобразную предысторию.
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BMW обновила флагманскую 7 серию. Слегка подправлена внешность, но основные изменения коснулись моторной части и технической начинки автомобиля. Рестайлинговые автомобили появятся у европейских дилеров осенью 2012 г. Фото: BMW Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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Продажи iPad третьего поколения в России начались в ночь на 25 мая в нескольких регионах России сразу у нескольких ритейлеров «Евросеть», «Связной», re:Store, «М.Видео», «Эльдорадо», Media Markt, МТС. Младшая модель планшета с 16 Гб памяти и интерфейсом Wi-Fi продается за 19 990 20 990 руб.Старшая с 64 Гб, Wi-Fi и сотовым модулем оценена в 35 490 35 990 руб.
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Renault официально представила концептуальное купе Renault Alpine A110-50, которое может стать прототипом первой модели возрожденной спортивной марки Alpine. Ревнивая немецкая пресса уже ехидно окрестила среднемоторное заднеприводное купе «охотником на Porsche» Фото: Renault Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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В поездке по Араратской долине и горным дорогам Армении удалось испытать новую модификацию Mazda CX-7 в самых подходящих для нее условиях Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru Фото: Mazda Motor Rus LLC
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«Ретроспектива» Дубосарского & Виноградова состоит из картин только что законченных, но давно начатых. Выставка воскрешает счастливые годы нашего современного искусства и его самого удачливого дуэта Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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Ракета-носитель Falcon 9 компании Space X с частным космическим кораблем Dragon стартовала с мыса Канаверал. Это первый полет коммерческого космического аппарата к МКС
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Такие мерседесы внешне мало отличаются от обычных, но они гарантированно защитят своих пассажиров от пуль этим занимается подразделение Mercedes-Benz Guard Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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Премьер-министр Дмитрий Медведев, вступивший в «Единую Россию», получил партийный билет с восьмизначным номером, большим половины населения России. «У меня билет № 84553090. У нас несколько меньше членов партии. С хорошим запасом», сказал Медведев Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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Президент предложил стать своим представителем в Уральском федеральном округе начальнику цеха нижнетагильского оборонного предприятия Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru
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Спрос на автомобиль стоимостью около миллиона долларов уже в три раза превысил ожидания, говорят в компании Подробнее читайте на Vedomosti.ru Nedvizhimost' Steny Biznesa (fresh issue)Building Blocks Of Business Supplement Investment Deals Marshall Real Estate Fund to buy up real estate Marshall Real Estate Fund is considering purchasing commercial real estate premises in Moscow and the Moscow suburbs for investment. How much is a decent business center in St. Petersburg, a successful shopping center or class A logistics terminal? Just half a year ago moving to lower class office premises could have had a negative affect on the reputation of businesses, as a feature of the Russian market was enhanced attention on the image of a company, says Dmitry Zolin, a managing partner at London Consulting Management Company | LCMC. Retailers are complaining about sharp decreases in turn over and consumer demand and high rental rates. Class A and B office projects have lost serious appeal to developers and investors. Consumer streams are decreasing, the profit of retailers is falling and shops are starting to close There is a lot of land in Nizhny Novgorod, but very few attractive sites. For participants of the St. Petersburg commercial real estate market 2008 will become the same as 1913 was for the history of Russia. Trimo is better known to European businessmen than the country from which it comes. Until the construction in 2002 of Dom Muzyka (House of Music) in Moscow there were only two large philharmonic halls the large hall of the Moscow Conservatory and the Tchaikovsky Concert Hall, converted in 1940 from the uncompleted Vsevoloda Meierkhold Theatre. Marshal Estate Pavel Bondarchuk has been appointed assistant to the general director of economics and finance at Marshal Estate group. It is already not a secret that the rapid development of the office real estate market that captured Moscow over the last several years has been dramatically transformed, right before our eyes, into a tenant's market during the financial crisis. In the middle of September last year the statement by head of Oneksima Mikhail Prokhorov in relation to the poor prospects of Russian developers, caused indignation from developers and was followed by accusations of incompetence ob his behalf. On a backdrop of decreasing rental rates reaching 40% for office and retail premises, prices for warehouses are not falling. The saying ‘to save the drowning is in the hands of the drowning' is a particularly relevant saying. ArchiveFour years ago I wrote an article about the land market in the Moscow suburbs. I remembered it recently when listening to a report from the first deputy to the public prosecutor Alexander Buksman at the All-Russia Land congress. Retail Streets Expensive and stable The main retail streets of the world, according to research by Cushman & Wakefield, have appeared to remain rather stable during the world financial crisis. A psychological stand off between proprietors and tenants has already lasted a month in the office market. Currently in retail the problems with liquidity are affecting companies developing the format of hypermarkets and supermarkets. The commercial real estate market is surely falling Land is a product that many possess and try to make profit from its use. Moscow is one of the most expensive capitals in the world and prices in resorts and holiday homes in the Moscow region will soon catch up with the Azure coast and Switzerland. Congress centers in the capital, according to experts, are not investment-attractive premises for developers due to the long time it takes to recoup investments of 10-15 years. The crisis is compelling owners of shopping centers to be flexible in questions of rental rates. Operating rental contracts are starting to be reconsidered, and in cases of preliminary rental agreements some operators are refusing to take premises. The crisis has arrived on the real estate market in Perm. Making forecasts in the sphere of commercial real estate in 2009 is certainly interesting, but does not have much practical use. In the present conditions of the financial crisis, people prefer not to talk about the deadlines of realizing projects. To put a new hotel into operation during a crisis is a pretty risky business. Serious financial shocks have affected both consumers of warehouse complexes, and developers. Constructers are waiting for the arrival of real money into their accounts, and there will not be any, possibly, until the end of the first quarter of 2009. CTBUH Elena Shuvalova, general director of Lobby agency, has been appointed regional head of the world council for tall buildings and city environment (Council on Tall Buildings and Urban Habitat, CTBUH) for Russia. Quality standards are a distinctive feature of almost any hotel chain In the Moscow suburbs there is currently no personnel to work for created enterprises. First Industrial Zone On October 3 the Volokolamsky industrial park the pilot project of the Moscow region government's program on the creation of industrial zones in the Moscow region up to 2010 opened. A deficit in quality office space is still allowing proprietors to dictate strict conditions on the conclusion of rental contracts. One of them is the long term nature of the contracts. While there remains a deficit in Moscow of retail space, developers are developing in the regions. But today a reduction in financing is forcing companies to return to the most profitable and comprehendible markets of both capitals. The Sochi-2008 investment forum almost fortified the claims of Sochi being the second most significant economic meeting in the country after St. Petersburg. However recent plans have been scuppered by the world financial crisis. In St. Petersburg a new version of sky scraper regulations are being developed. The document has not come into force yet. But in the future it will be included as a component in the law on the regulations of land tenure and construction, which will go to the city's parliament in October. Former large private residences now used for offices are traditionally considered exclusive premises and very much VIP in the Moscow market. The majority of Russian hotels are the private affairs of private investors. Investors may simply buy a municipal apartment block or building and convert it into a mini-hotel. The fall in demand for land plots in the Moscow region and the gradual decrease in prices may lead to an increase in interest from landowners in the agro-sector The warehouse real estate sector has perhaps been the quickest to react to the international liquidity crisis. In the vicinities of St. Petersburg a lot of warehouse construction has already been frozen. In connection with overestimated prices for land and a shortage of long-term funding the situation, in the opinion of experts, is adverse for new players coming into the market. The specificity of Sochi as the most famous and popular Russian resort dictates the conditions of the commercial real estate market: the hotel sector here is key. As the global slowdown continues, the 350,000 commuters working in the City of London are hunkering down in the hope of escaping the next corporate cull. A recent survey by Oxford Economics predicted more than 20,000 financial service sector job losses in the next two years in the City and Tower Hamlets, home to Canary Wharf. But while the workers might be feeling the pinch, what of their often neglected neighbours inside Londons city within a city: the areas residents? Recently Russian Railways (RZhD) announced the start of several projects on the redevelopment of territories and its intention to become a participant in the real estate market at a national level, even through its not their main field of business. In Moscow alone RZhD controls sites estimated at a total volume of 3,000 hectares, and across the whole of Russia has 1 million hectares. These plans are attracting attention already because many of its land plots are in the centers of large cities. The redevelopment of transport premises is an unusual occurrence in Russian practice at the moment. Zheldoripoteko, a subsidiary of RZhD, has been entrusted with carrying out this project. The general director of the company Vitaly Votolevsky tells us about it. The destiny of agro complexes in Russia is known: the majority of them stopped operating during the perestroika period of the 1990s, land was sold and production was shut down. Glass is a modern and convenient material for the construction and furnishing of premises. Modern technologies allow for the creation of complex and strong designs. Glass facades today carry out the role of insulation, ventilation systems, protection from noise, wind and even fire. Alexander Skvortsov, head of the group of companies AGC Flat Glass Russia, explains the popularity of recent architectural trends among developers: the borders between the «private world» of a building and the environment are erased, the simple and concise external shape of the building is more welcoming. In the opinion of Alexei Lyashko, head of the department of material-technological support of STiS group, the increased requirements in the construction of buildings were an incitement for the development of new directions in the glass industry, such as glass with coverings, hardened and safety glass. ADG Group Marina Shevchenko has been appointed financial director of development company ADG Group. The rental rate in business centers is influenced by various factors, from the situation in the real estate market (the level of supply and demand) to the condition of the premises being rented out (furnishings, shell and core, etc.). This year at the tenth anniversary of the Zolotoye Pero (Golden Feather) competition of the Moscow Association of Realtors something strange happened. Israel. The logistics services market in Russia is far from perfect. Huge distances, the absence of a developed transport network, the lack of logistics complexes, the opacity of calculations, the multitude of intermediaries, etc, essentially increase the cost price of goods. Optimizing the costs of logistics could save manufacturers up to 30%. Warehouse constructions as a special part in the chain of logistics have undergone significant changes all over the world. In the West developers and large logistics companies are moving towards automated warehouses, introducing modern management and accounting systems. And although new technologies are rather expensive, their introduction frees up labour, reduces overhead costs and increases profits. Several factors influence the rental rate. These influence the earnings of the owner of office real estate to different degrees. Traditionally average rental rates on the office real estate market are calculated on the basis of their classification. The attribute of a building to this or that class specifies what price range the potential tenants will have to pay. In turn, each class has a set of parameters that define the rate of each specific office complex. The world liquidity crisis has rendered and continues to render immeasurably greater influence on investors, developers and tenants, especially foreign, than Russia's conflict with Georgia. But the geopolitical situation will play a role in the medium term future. While western politicians have been pressing Russia on its campaign in the Caucasus, business circles have been interested in absolutely different questions and problems. Crisis: Developers Halt Building Sites Mirax freezes projects Te management of Mirax Group, which is part of one of the most successful development companies, has announced that it is freezing investment projects for at least a year. Tenants are choosing quality offices even in areas not previously considered business areas. The reason is more favourable conditions and wide choice. The retail real estate market is demonstrating inconsistent trends: on the one hand, foreign investments are continuing to come, while on the other, Russian developers are putting sites up for sale, not having the money to realize projects. Moscow has been waiting a long time for high-grade outlets due to the absence of cheap land plots and unfocused demand. The construction of the first retail parks in Russia has only just begun. However, developers of such projects treat the definition of the format too freely and try to raise their income by placing shopping galleries and food court zones in such premises, which is considered inadmissible for western power centers. According to the estimations of experts, in Moscow there are now a total of more than 6,000 local shops and retail pavilions. Previously the format of local shops was interesting only to small businessmen but now large chains are also trying to bite off a piece of this pie. There are many business centers under construction and demand for offices has not fallen, but all the same a share of premises are periodically empty. There are a number of reasons for this: high prices and bad lay-out, an inconvenient location and transport problems. Ambitious development projects grow only on paper. There are no mega-constructions yet. Sub renting office space is widespread in the office real estate market of Moscow, St. Petersburg and other large Russian cities. For some companies sub renting is an absolute must, and for others it is a profitable business. However, it is not always absolutely legal. The degree of transport accessibility significantly defines the success of a project. Meanwhile road reserves in the central part of Moscow were used up a long time ago. Without the creation of a developed road network and developed pubic transport structure, we can expect nothing good to come from the ambitious plans on the creation of the following business areas: Moscow-City, Nagatino i-Land, and business complexes in the Paveletskaya, Kuntsevskaya and Semyonovskaya areas. The St. Petersburg authorities have announced plans for the targeted sale of commercial premises to small and medium-sized businesses. According to provisional estimations approximately 5,000 current tenants can take advantage of the right to buy their premises from the St. Petersburg Committee on the Management of the City's Property (KUGI). The local law which regulates the order and the conditions of privatization should come into force by the end of year. Although Krasnodar is not formally a million-population city 800 000 people officially there development of the commercial real estate market in it follows pretty much the same script as large Russian regions. First of all, the development of the retail segment, then numerous applications of developers for warehouse projects and finally the construction of multipurpose complexes with an obligatory hotel component. Jones Lang LaSalle Jones Lang LaSalle has changed its top-management. The old Moskva hotel is connected with an old anecdote that illustrates that essence of that epoch the 1930s well. Architect Alexei Shchusev was in charge of the Mossovet design bureau at the time, which made two variants for the facade of the new construction. Joseph Stalin then chose and sign off the design he liked and preferred which was then realized on Manezhnaya Ploshchad. The question «How do we lay out Russia?» is still relevant. One fresh idea has been to create more than two cities in the country that are centres of gravity for investments and migratory streams. It is important to give Russian cities a new impulse for development, considers Nadezhda Kosareva, the president of the Institute Ekonomiki Gorod (Institute of City Economics) fund. The skyscrapers of Moscow-City business center the first such area in Moscow have become almost such integral symbols of the city as the Ostankino tower. In recent time environmental law has become one of the major fields of law from being almost forgotten. This is first of all due to the rapid development of industry and new technologies and therefore unfortunately increases the threat to the life and health and environmental safety of people all over the world. It is not possible to have modern real estate premises without electricity. Electrical household appliances, lifts, lighting and other products for civilized living require electric power. For builders the absence of access to energy supplies is «equal to death». The transparency of the development business in Russia is still rather low. Even large and, apparently, public companies do not disclose the true state of affairs to the public. And so what can be said about smaller firms? SOCHI I have wanted to visit Sochi for a long time. To look at all the former Soviet Union health resorts, and now the city of Olympic hope. A business trip was arranged for the end of June colleagues from CRE were presenting their awards and at the same time holding a summit on regional real estate. The Radisson SAS Azure, the largest hotel in Sochi had been chosen as the venue for the event. A standard room during high season here costs abut 7,000 rubles a night. The organizers reserved almost the whole hotel and then resold the rooms to the participants of the summit for at least 1,500 rubles more. But there is no need to reproach our colleagues people from Sochi also like to money from other people. The fashion of constructing your own headquarters has only started to take root in a circle of Russian companies. At the moment only the leading banks, and oil&gas and transnational corporations can afford such a luxury. But in the long term other large businessmen will think about constructing their own ‘image' offices too. The majority of business centers that have been put into operation in the first half of 2008 have been located in the center of Moscow although experts are observing the benefits of the displacement of construction of new premises outside the MKAD. It's interesting why the marketing experts of firms make comments with pleasure to journalists on the condition of the Russian market using the conclusions and findings of their foreign colleagues from other national markets, but cannot agree on the state of it? Do the interests of the firms prevail? The territories of Moscow's markets have been interesting to developers of commercial real estate for a long time. The authorities decided to help, promising for a long time to transform the territories occupied with markets into high-grade shopping centres. However for foreign investors to enter into redevelopment projects of markets is extremely difficult: the majority of market complexes built on their territories belong to the same «market» owners. Moreover, the profitability of markets brings in a no smaller profit than from the tenancy of premises in modern shopping centres. As a result, experts note that if markets disappear, it will only be by the will of its owners or consumers. Increased competition is compelling sellers to find new ways of fighting for buyers. You could say customisation is making its way into all trade. This is a good sign: it means that retail is moving to a new level of quality on the one hand, and the growth of consumer culture, on the other. The market of housing and municipal services all over the world is considered profitable, however in Russia private business is not in a hurry to get into this field. 20 years ago practically every solid enterprise had its own sport base with rest houses, pioneer camps (camps for children) and kindergartens. And those who worked in less solid enterprises would be able to use the sports and rest bases of other organizations through trade unions. In general everyone wanting to get discounted holidays for children would receive them without problems. ROSTOV-ON-DON Local companies have at last assessed the advantages of high quality commercial real estate. Now modern business centers, shopping complexes and logistic parks have no problems with fillability. Developers are trying to please the growing inquiries of clients and are building class A premises in the city. ST. PETERBURG St. Petersburg developers are all readily including hotels within the structure of multipurpose complexes. According to Praktis CB, the share of such construction makes up about a quarter of all hotel projects sold in the city. However, it is still difficult to judge how successful these projects will be: functioning hotels within the structure of completed mixed projects are still exotic. And already there are examples of when investors have rejected «rooms» in favour of more simple to manage and more profitable offices or shops. They say about architects that the pencil is in the hand of the client. Whatever they want, you draw is it upsetting? Well-known Russian architect Sergei Kiselyov answers with a shrug of the shoulders: «You need to understand that we are spending other people's money. They trust us we are happy, but sometimes customers only really believe in themselves.» Respect, not only for someone else's money, but also for the architectural nature of the city and monuments of historical heritage underlie all of Kiselyovs projects. It is no wonder that he and his team have won every possible architectural award, including from developers. The Okhotnik Hotel which is included in the structure of a multipurpose complex is located in an 8-storey building in the north of Moscow (1 Golobinskoye shosse). The premises which was put into operation in February 2008, is both old and new. The hotel is located in a building which was previously part of the central building of hunters and the fishermen. But it had become outdated, and was not bringing the expected income and this became the main reason for redevelopment. The hotel is open, but the rest of the complex is now under reconstruction. Builders say that concrete is the muscles of buildings, and the front facing bricks are its protective armour, then it is possible to compare metal frame constructions or steel work to a skeleton. Participants of the Russian real estate market are actively developing new tools for financing projects. One such tool recently became the funds of Non-state Pension Funds, which invest money in real estate premises either through management companies or through directly buying premises. Considering that every year the volume of funds in NPFs increase, they need more and more premises to finance. In a situation whereby world share markets are falling, investment in real estate has become a very reliable way for NPFs to augment capital, and for developers such funds are a last hope when banks do not have enough «long» money. Leasing is something in-between usual renting and traditional credit. The main advantage is the free use of an object for rent by making profit out of it and the possibility of buying the object at the residual cost at the end of the validity of the contract. For businessmen the main appeal of leasing is in the optimization of taxation. The state, obviously not interested in reducing the tax base, is not neglecting this sphere, and in the West discussions about the nature of leasing and its regulation, including taxation, bankruptcy, accounts and reporting do not cease. Nevertheless this has not prevented leasing from roughly developing, including in the construction industry and the sphere of real estate. In the last few years leasing has begun to make itself known also in Russia. Museums and monuments of culture can be easily rented as everybody knows. Companies celebrate their anniversaries in the halls of the Pushkinsky museum; the National Real Estate Congress takes place in Tsarskoye Selo near St. Petersburg, in Shuvalovsky Palace in St. Petersburg or in the Church of Christ the Saviour in Moscow there are a lot of examples. More than 30 per cent of demand for quality office premises is from investment companies, banks and companies in the oil sector, according to data from GVA Sawyer, which carries out research on the distribution of demand by the activity of the company. Developers say that within the city boundaries there are practically no places to build large shopping centres. The site for a large shopping center should be big and in a place with good transport accessibility there is a particularly acute deficit of such plots. Some market participants are looking for other ways to develop their businesses. For example, an affiliate of financial and industrial corporation Garant-Invest is building local format shopping centers (although it hasn't forgotten about large complexes). Every person has a dream. Some want, like the old saying goes, «to give birth to a son, plant a tree and construct a house,» while others want to reach great heights in their career. Valentin Smirnov's dream became a reality: he is the founder and director of the only furniture museum in Moscow. And also he is continuing the traditions of a dynasty of restorers, five generations old. A year ago in June 2007, the Moscow society for the protection of architectural heritage and international organization Save Europe's Heritage published a report called «Moscow Architectural Heritage: The Point of No Return.» Experts from Russia, the US, the UK and Germany have collected incontestable evidence that Moscow's authorities are ruthlessly taking down, reconstructing, and ruining world famous architectural monuments. Historical real estate is a brand recognized all over the world, which is capable of making its owner solid profit. But in Moscow, it seems like people prefer new-build. Despite the history of a premises giving quite good additional value, experts recognize. Bookshops have really changed in the market economy. Dealers of intellectual products are considering the trends of time. The most important things are convenience, a wide assortment of goods, and not only printed editions but also their electronic versions. The mobile format of the most active book-selling chains allows them to develop both in tiny premises so-called bookstores, and in the format of supermarkets. On July 1, 2009, gaming in Russia will cease to exist, and the premises which were used for gambling establishments will be put on the open market. Retailers will get the majority of this real estate, but the operators of the gaming industry will find a purpose for the best premises themselves. The construction of multipurpose buildings including both offices and housing is one example of the successful adaptation to constantly changing conditions as dictated by the city authorities. In realizing mixed-use projects, developers build apartments where it is not permitted to build housing, and offices where an office building project would not get approval. A hotel brings additional preferences to the developer from the city. Russia has studied the elements of hospitality. Even 10 years ago nobody spoke about Russia conforming to European standards and especially about competing with western hotel brands. Now owners of hotels and architects do not want Russian hotels to copy standard European hotels in everything. The tendency of universalization has begun to become obsolete, giving place to the idea of individualization. ST. PETERSBURG In 2007 the St. Petersburg hotel market increased by 540 new rooms. This is approximately half the figure the city administration was counting on. In Peter last year, only one large hotel opened, while all others were small. However St. Petersburg authorities do not connect these modest achievements with low investment activity in the sphere of hospitality, and name the main problem as non-observance of deadlines for construction. PERM The only sector of commercial real estate to have reached relative saturation in Perm, is retail real estate. Office centers are also under construction but there is still a distinct lack of such premises in the city. Hotels and warehouses wait their turn. The rise in prices in all segments, according to analysts, does not exceed inflation. One and a half years ago the shares of Sistema-Gals were placed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE). Since then the capitalization of the company has fallen, but its president Felix Yektushenkov does not consider it a catastrophe as «the company cannot grow when everyone is falling.» The company's portfolio of projects has not decreased, and their total value, according to western experts, exceeds the total capitalization of the company. Since 2005 the number of participants in the consulting services market has increased by approximately 4 times and has become the precondition for its change. The main reason for changes is the increase in the number of requirements concerning consulting reports for both financial and development companies. Some time ago banks were not really concerned about this, but now developers irreproachably need to provide quality reports on projects in order to receive funding for construction. Restaurateurs in Moscow have moved from their kitchens being storerooms, to the fryer and grill becoming part of the interior, and the preparation of a dish a culinary non stop show, whereby the kitchen is separated from diners' tables only with a transparent fence, or sometimes with a bar. Shopping centers are more and more often being divided into segments for various types of goods making it easier for shoppers to find their way round. Here there will be clothes, there will be watches, on the lower floor groceries, and on the top floors books and computers. Convenient navigation attracts more consumers, which is more profitable for the landlord, who always has the need for a ready argument to raise rental rates. But for tenants and sellers of specific boutiques such a principle can sometimes create inconveniences. They aren't concerned with the general statistic of the whole shopping center, but with their own profits, which can only b provided for by those shoppers that, as a minimum, visit their shop. Capital authorities intend to considerably increase the number of people that use public transport. According to the Public Opinion fund, 99 per cent of Muscovites, 91 per cent of inhabitants of the Russian mega cities and 61 per cent of inhabitants of large cities think that there a lot of traffic jams. Constantly growing rental rates for office premises is forcing tenants planning to move to a more spacious office in good time to look for ways to freeze them at a lower level. According to Armen Shavarshyan, an expert in the commercial real estate department at Penny Lane Realty, western companies that try to reserve an office not less than one year prior to relocating are especially scrupulous, having concluded preliminary rental contracts on premises in business centers under construction. Drawing up laws that concern business dealing is necessary. If only to make it more civilized. But, as practice shows, frequently the laws accepted for a specific field of business end up damaging it. And furthermore according to the law of physics: a shock wave hits those is in the game. Developers of office complexes are announcing more and more large-scale projects, often telling us exactly how their business park or skyscraper will help Moscow to solve the problem of the deficit of office space. But in reality the market remains in the authority of landlords. The practice of concluding rental contracts at the stage of construction is becoming even more widespread. Even if tenants are prepared to wait longer (compared with the announced dates) for a premises to be put into operation, an increase in rental rates at the last minute can not only be unexpected, but also inadmissible. The process of the decentralization of offices in Moscow has already for a long time been not a trend, but a fact: neither the narrow central streets, nor the wide highways connecting the center and the territories from the MKAD can support the daily flow of all kinds of managers, which flock to all parts within the limits of the Garden Ring. In developed countries motorists in cities and on highways are served by various types of enterprises. There are also monopolists known brands all over the world. Many companies that have chains all over the world have actively entered Russia, in particular in the Moscow region where in the last 10-15 years western-type restaurants, cafes and snack bars have been growing like mushrooms, forming a new culture of feeding. It is not only freight carriers and inveterate motorists that are interested in the plans for the construction of new roads to the Moscow suburbs, but also investors-speculators who are buying up land plots along the future highways. Those who invest at the early stages of the construction of a road, using insider information, gain maximum profit. They, however, also risk more than others. Queues are forming outside warehouses. The rapid growth of retail trade and construction and also the development of small and medium sized businesses observed in the past year, have increased demand for the transportation of consolidated freight. In the opinion of experts, the market of these services is at the threshold of quality changes. ST. PETERSBURG The sale of profitable commercial real estate premises in the last few years has become more active. However, this conclusion can only be drawn with great reserve: such operations still remain rare and, as a rule, are not standard transactions typical for the developed market of the sale of ready businesses. The main causes as to why this sector remains languid, despite the aggressive policy of investment funds, are a deficit in the supply of quality offers and the mentality of local developers. YEKATERINBURG Enthusiasm for large-scale projects, which are being realized by large financial-industrial groups reigns in the commercial real estate market in Yekaterinburg. Developers are sure that the dynamical development of the Ural region and its center will allow for millions of square meters of new multipurpose centers and areas of business activity. Analysts warn that this could lead to falling prices in the market, transport problems, a crisis in management and small non-professional development companies leaving the market. An investment boom in the warehouse segment has drifted smoothly from Moscow to other regions. A number of large companies are developing chain projects of logistics parks in Russian cities. Among them is a joint project between Megalogix of fund Raven Russia and Avalon group of companies. Alexei Gushch, co-owner and general director of construction company Avalon, comments on the current situation and the prospects of the warehouse market. Developers that develop projects from registering the land to sale of the premises, are those interested in the correct positioning of a premises, in its characteristics, its quality and size. The widespread АВС classification of premises in Russia generally has nothing in common with professional building lexicon, the criteria of classification reflects the characteristics of a premises necessary for its valuation as a product and sale on the market. In Russia classification has not been born brokers have artificially created it as a tool to complete transactions. The Russian office market exists under western standards. As does the organization of office space. Many companies use the latest developments in this field from already classical open space to mobile workplaces and the absence of separate offices for managers. In the opinion of experts, this allows for optimization of working process, and sometimes savings on rent. But such innovations do not suit everyone. The Russian belief that a problem can be solved once and for all is deep-rooted. They lay a road and then it's possible to forget about it. Having constructed a shopping complex, it should last a hundred years and for all this time make profit. In reality, the owners of shopping centers more often collide with a situation whereby the center brings more expense than income. In most cases shopping center tenants in Russia pay developers a fixed rate of rent, instead of a percentage of turnover as is accepted in the majority of developed European countries. However, in the last few years proprietors and tenants of retail real estate more often choose a mixed model of charging rent. Perhaps changes are not far off? In Soviet films employees of numerous scientific research institutes played table tennis in breaks the whole storyline of the film «Samaya Obayatelnaya I Privlikatelnaya» was built around a ping-pong table. In modern office centers in Moscow everything is different: their owners prefer to make money from every square meter, and therefore there are no ping-pong tables in the majority of business centers. In rare cases in office centers there may be a high-grade fitness club but then this is a question already of a separate infrastructural element more often open to all members of the public. Las Vegas is a unique city in the desert, which was fated not only to survive but also become famous throughout the whole world, again stands at the threshold of a big choice. Global warming, the fruits of which are reaped more often by the inhabitants of the state of Nevada, has set a new problem for the city to survive in changing climate conditions. Having accepted this new call, the authorities of the Clark County, in which the territory of Las Vegas is located, have understood the necessity of a transition to new energy saving technologies and so-called green construction. Anyone travelling along the M62 south of Leeds cannot fail to see the huge distribution sheds on either side of the motorway evidence of West Yorkshires ongoing popularity as a location for UK distributors and logistics businesses. CANNES Commercial success sometimes surpasses the expectations of the founders of an enterprise. MIPIM, the worlds largest international real estate show, this year literally swallowed up Cannes, a small town on the French shores of the Azure, well known for its numerous exhibitions and festivals. Moscow has the highest rating (6.75) in Europe in terms of real estate investment, with Istanbul at 6.74, Berlin at 5.74, Milan at 5.68 and London at 5.53. The results of research on the European real estate market carried out by Urban Land Institute were presented at a conference organized by PricewaterhouseCoopers. In getting ready to go shopping in this or that shopping center very few people reflect on all the motives that influence their choice. Vedomosti has carried out a small poll on this topic. As middle class brands are identical in all shopping centers, and transport accessibility in the city has, for a long time, not been a problem, the set of additional facilities has become essential. The story of how the opinions of Eric Van Egeraat and Capital Group became different is several years long. It all started, as usual, quite positively. A solid player on the Moscow real estate market invited a world-renowned architect to design some projects. Now each side has a different stance and opinion to what followed. The conflict between the Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) and the car park companies at the capital's airports is not in its first year. For a long time anti-monopolists have been limited only to making threats and promises of problems. However recently the conflict has entered a new phase: the FAS has ordered the car park companies to lower tariffs, otherwise they will be fined. MIAN group has acquired the famous Narkomfin House in Moscow on Novinsky bulvar, with the purpose of reprofiling it (if such a term can actually be applied in relation to monuments) in the future. It will now be a boutique hotel. But it looks like for the building, which used to be on the list of the 100 architectural masterpieces under threat of disappearing (the World Monument Fund (WMF) compiles and updates the list once every two years), there is a chance for it not to be destroyed. The volume of investments in the project will be about $60 million, with the restoration works planned to be completed by 2011. Archeological discoveries and Marilyn Monroe, who once said that diamonds are a girl's best friend, testify to the fact that there is no woman who doesn't like jewelry. Initially things like teeth, tusks and the skin of animals was used to make pendants, earrings, rings, bracelets, etc. with the advent of metal, jewelry started to be made from bronze and copper, and now silver and gold with precious stones. On the Russian real estate market there are premises with unique commercial potential that are not being fully exploited. Such premises are capable of generating huge streams of people, from which both the retailers of various goods, representatives of the restaurant business, and service providers, could make a lot of profit from. It is considered that if a developer announces a large number of projects at one time, it will construct about half of them. And the percentage of realized projects that are announced by the government of the Moscow region, says an expert, is even less. For example, several years ago a governmental program for the construction of 72 industrial districts on 13,500 hectares that was widely advertised still now remains practically unrealized. According to a governmental order of the Moscow Region by 2010 this project should be completed, however just a few sites are now at a stage of development. Industrial enterprises in the Moscow region are being created outside of the program and practically completely without the support of authorities. ST. PETERSBURG The historical center of St. Petersburg is still lacking in large and modern shopping formats. The main retail attraction on Nevsky prospekt remains the legendary Gostinka (Bolshoi Gostiny Dvor) a classical eighteenth century mall. The few projects realized during the years of reform, as a rule, are rather local and mainly associated with the reconstruction of existing buildings. Difficulties with financing for developers arising from the crisis in the share market will also affect the warehouse segment. Investors will lower their activity and a number of builders will reconsider their plans. Besides problems with money they will have problems with clients, and this is despite the statements of analysts about a backlog of demand. KAZAN The surplus of commercial areas at the beginning of 2007 was estimated at 0.5 million sq.m and the share of vacant areas in offices at 15-30 per cent by analysts. Contrary to pessimistic forecasts, the market has absorbed these surpluses. In March 2008 in the city, only 5.5 per cent of offices were vacant and no more than 2 per cent of premises were vacant in quality shopping centers. Investors have perked up and have announced the realization of new projects. MR Group is a rather young company by Russian market standards. It is only five years old. But in this short time it has done a lot. The company not only has projects in Moscow, but also in Sochi where the company came long before the city was announced the Olympic capital and where it has already finished the construction of its first project. According to member of the board of directors Victor Labuzdko, the business is going successfully, and he calls MR Group «a young, actively growing organism.» Among the company's plans are the attraction of foreign partners and a possible listing on a stock exchange after 2012. Boris Guretsky, general director of Mospromstroi, despite being a respectable age, is vigorously energetic and optimistic. It with some sadness that he remembers the past and considers that the existing system of business dealing should be changed. «I worked in Glavmospromstroi as the first deputy chief when it was a state organization. In 1990 when the auctioning off of businesses began, we were auctioned. Mospromstroi in those days was a socialist enterprise, and more than 75,000 people worked in the company,» he says. On 1-2 April 2008 as a part of the MosBuild annual construction exhibition the fifth Russian championships in roofing skills, organized by the National Roofing Union with support of the administration of the Presnensky area of Moscow took place. After a selection stage 14 teams from Vladivostok, Krasnodar, Moscow and St. Petersburg got through to the finals. Promoting a new and functioning shopping center is an obligatory condition of a successful functioning premises. Western practice of distributing the marketing budget between the tenants has not yet reached wide circulation in Russian shopping centers: on the whole proprietors and tenants conduct isolated advertising campaigns. But increased competition on the market of shopping areas is pushing tenants and proprietors of shopping centers to cooperate for general benefit. All proprietors of any commercial real estate premises have an idea about the companies they would like to see in the ranks of tenants. But unfortunately there's no such thing as an ideal tenant. So the parties should always look for compromise and adapt to each other's follies. The question is who will the developer give it to and who has no chance of getting it. To begin with, stress (nervous breakdown) simply prevents you from concentrating. «They say that I want to turn the world upside down with my statements,» the great heretic Jiordano Bruno wrote. «But would it be bad to turn the upside world?» This question, possibly, motivates developers who are keen to develop original projects. Buildings in the shape of an iron, a basket, bubbles and turned upside down buildings. When Polish businessman and philanthropist Daniel Chapevski built his upside down house, he did not know that it would become a local sight. Wishing to remain unknown the investor planned for the house to become an original monument marking the end of the communist era. The building has become famous, but not as a monument, but first of all as an attraction. Chapevski has reached commercial success the building has glorified the small town of Shimbark in north Poland. The upside down building, constructed on July 31, 2007, is based on its roof with its foundation up, and to come inside is possible only through the loft window. People used to going in their own car within the limits of the Garden Ring for work or at the weekend for shopping or entertainment, are tired of unostentatious roadside service. The biggest event of 2007 for Moscow developers was a decision by Moscow's authorities to sharply reduce in-fill construction of office complexes in the central part of the city, limiting it to the Moscow-City business area. For many years the Central Administrative District (CAD) has been the main area for the realization of class A and B projects. In 2007 no less than 600,000 sq.m of quality office premises were constructed in Moscow, but the share of vacant premises remains one of the lowest in Europe. In class A offices it is less than 1.5 per cent and in class B it is 4-4.5 per cent, whereas in Central Europe this figure is 7.5 per cent. This has provided a growth in rental rates of 19 per cent in the class A office segment and of 17-18 per cent in the class B segment. In 2007 in Moscow 800,000 sq.m of shopping premises were constructed, 600000 sq.m of which were modern shopping centers. Supply exceeded 6 million sq.m. The provision of shopping premises in 2007 stood at 260 sq.m per 1,000 inhabitants, up 15 per cent from 2006. Megamalls and hypermarkets that sell everything for everybody are multiplying in Moscow. But there are also small, non-standard shops that are interesting in that they survive despite the strict competition in the world fashion industry and accessibility of the mass market. Moreover, they collect a certain circle of people a kind of club of buyers. In 2007 the quality warehouse real estate market in the Moscow region was replenished with 800,000 sq.m, but this is not enough. Class A warehouses are completely full, and the level of vacant premises in class B warehouses is no more than 3 per cent. The lack of premises is forcing consumers to invest in logistics projects. ST. PETERSBURG In February a concept for the development of warehouse terminal infrastructure in St. Petersburg, developed by the city's committee on transport-transit policy was put forward for approval by the Smolny. SAMARA In the last two years the shopping and office segments of real estate have been the most actively developed. Experts are afraid that soon there will be super-saturation. Analysts say that warehouses are a promising market. Although hotels are the outsiders a small revival has been observed nevertheless. The main thing in the hotel business is mutual respect. Such a principle is defended by Mark Hoplamazian, the president and chief executive director of international hotel chain Hyatt International. Hyatt doesn't disclose financial information in respect to the interests of the owners of the hotels that it manages. According to him, Hyatt is a private company and has no plans in the near future to become public. Market growth and strengthening competition more often cause developers of elite residential complexes to face problems in realizing the least liquid premises on the ground floors of buildings. At first sight the obvious solution is to allocate the premises on the ground floors for commercial use and to regard them as a separate business. However there are a number of complexities. Riverside territories and water space in the Moscow region and nearby regions are now lagging behind Moscow's recreational zones in terms of economic efficiency of use by 15-17 years. The wishes of investors to invest in the development of riverside areas to build new yacht clubs and holiday homes have been blocked by contradictions in legislation and by officials. Yachting is simultaneously a sport, entertainment, and relaxation, and for many also a very profitable business. Sailing and motorboat enthusiasts do not begrudge funds or time spent on their hobby. From this comes a constantly growing yacht industry. One sphere of yachting is the infrastructure, i.e. specially equipped moorings and everything connected with them, or as they are called in the west, the endearing name marina. Big crowds of people, which are a necessary part of any metropolis in the world, cardinally change the representations of safety. Is it possible to feel confidently safe in a big city? On the other hand, the safety methods of city people, for example in London, sometimes look like they have been copied from a fantasy novel. «Civilization is constructed and is supported by the quality of infrastructure,» Richard Rosan, president of ULI (Urban Land Institute, USA) notes. And in cities one of the main parts of infrastructure is the metro, or underground. The two-year history of the construction of the business quarter in St. Small companies find it difficult to find an office, especially in class A and B+ business centers. Russian retailers are experiencing a period of growth. There are at least three projects being realized in Moscow that are complex in social and educational terms and also in terms of construction and operative technologies. Chain retail companies that represent clothes brands are the most popular tenants in shopping centers. Russian retailers have competed with each other for favorable premises located on the crossings of people flows for a long time. Besides traditional office, warehouse, shopping and hotel premises there are lots of buildings in the commercial real estate market that allow for the use premises for profit. Almost 314 billion rubles of private and public funds are expected in the development of Sochi by 2014. ST. Independent entrance onto the Russian building market usually comes to a pitiable end for foreign builders. The projects of SUIholding have been seen by almost every muscovite. KAZAN Over the last 10 years the MAPIC retail real estate exhibition has became a traditional meeting place for developers, investors, retailers and consultants. Russian developers are making announcements about multi-million dollar projects, and several large-scale companies have project portfolios which already exceed more than billions of dollars But the value of the company itself is usually less than the funds that are required to pay for realising the project. There are still tens of thousands of hectares of unallotted state land in the Moscow region. There are retail streets in every megacity. LAS VEGAS The original anthem of the city, which explains the beginnings of the gaming business, is the song Viva Las Vegas by Elvis Presley from the romantic comedy Viva Las Vegas, 1964. Demand for commercial real estate in general is growing everywhere, and capital investments in this segment are also increasing. Approximately 12 years ago I became acquainted with an interesting person, an unconditional authority in the real estate market. The situation with the cost of renting offices in 2007, reminds us of the situation with prices for apartments in 2006: they are growing at surprising speeds to analysts. There is a lack of quality trading premises in Russia, commercial real estate experts note. Cinemas in shopping centers are a usual phenomenon; it is enough to just study the capital's listings. The long term efforts of the authorities to find something that would allow for the diversification of the Russian economy are not in vain. Demand for refrigerated warehouses in Moscow is not satisfied. ROSTOV No segment of commercial real estate in Rostov remains without attention. In the regions the process of mergers and acquisitions by trading companies is in full swing. ST. At the end of the 1980s Boris Asriev, a student of the S. In November 2007, Rezidor Hotels Group officially opened a head representative office in Moscow. The problems that every developer-land owner has to deal with are always a popular subject of discussion by the market community. The average Moscow developer resembles a craftsman. The 90s generation can hardly imagine that the Internet never existed before. The rhythm of modern life in big cities dictates to its natives more and more unusual conditions of existence. In the Russian real estate market wooden residential buildings have always been popular: the cost price of their construction is lower than a stone or brick construction, and they are much more ecological. It is impossible for a high-altitude business center to function without modern lifts capable of quickly lifting a person hundreds of meters upwards. In many megacities of the world commercial real estate is gradually going under the ground. For Some store chain it is possible to grow to international level. The three-storey house for sale on Acacia Avenue in Ottawa, Canada, has plenty to recommend it. |
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